Jamie Dimon has been warning for a while that the U.S. let China build an economic edge while Washington moved too slowly, pointing specifically at how dependent American weapons manufacturing and technology industries have become on China for critical minerals. In his 2024 shareholder letter, he argued the U.S. "slept" while China built up those advantages, and he's been critical of how sluggish U.S. defense procurement has been in response.
Government policy has started to catch up with that warning. The Pentagon has budgeted $5 billion for fiscal 2026-2027 specifically to shore up supply chains for minerals like antimony, gallium, germanium, and aluminum, materials the Defense Department has flagged as in short supply for military equipment, while the Trump administration has signed or approved roughly $40 billion in critical-minerals deals since January 2025.
JPMorgan's own commitments dwarf even that. The bank is about a year into a 10-year, $1.5 trillion initiative aimed at critical minerals, defense, and frontier technology, and has already financed or facilitated roughly $230 billion toward it. Within that figure, it's about halfway through a $10 billion allocation set aside for defense startups, having deployed roughly $5 billion so far. Specific deals include a $75 million stake in a developer of an Idaho antimony mine, $1 billion in financing arranged for a rare-earth magnet manufacturing expansion, and a conditional $500 million commitment tied to rare-earth minerals in Brazil.

